swing states map

Track the most competitive presidential swing states and key Senate races. The name of this state was derived from the Colorado River which was named by the Spanish travelers as Rio Colorado.

The state of Colorado is classified as one of the mountain states; this is mainly because the state encompasses the majority of the southern Rocky Mountains.


With the help of Swing Left—a national grassroots organization founded after the 2016 election—we can make a difference by paying attention to the 12 Super States, a.k.a.

Georgia and Texas further to the left? Use our maps, polls and analysis to follow top battlegrounds in the 2020 election. who are non-Hispanic white with less than a bachelor’s degree, a bloc that moved sharply toward the GOP in 2016. Instead, they have tended to vote a bit to the right of the country with little variation in recent years.

North Carolina’s white college-educated population share isn’t that much smaller than Virginia’s, but it has a larger share of white voters who don’t have a four-year degree. That said, Florida and North Carolina are also racially diverse and home to a decent number of highly educated voters, but they haven’t become liberal bastions. another predictor of GOP-leaning politics, people of color tend to vote more Democratic, Joe Biden leads by about 9 points nationally, large share of its Latino vote is Cuban American. But those forces may also define the parties moving forward, which means this election could also tell us a great deal about how the electoral map will look beyond 2020.

For Democrats, the hope would be that those three states trend in ways similar to Colorado and Virginia, two formerly red states whose diverse and highly educated electorates have moved them to the left over the past two decades.
Swing states are those in which neither major political party holds a lock on the outcome of presidential elections.

This offsets the rest of those states, which usually vote far more Republican. However, as was true in the first four states we looked at, there has been a slow yet noticeable move to the right in these four states over the last several elections. Take Iowa and Ohio, which went from uber-competitive states to near blowouts for President Trump in 2016. These states predominantly lie in the South and West, and the following trio of traditionally red states could all be up for grabs this November. The term can also be used to describe a state whose electoral votes have a high probability of being the deciding factor in a presidential election.

We zoomed in on how 16 battleground states have voted relative to the country as a whole since 2000 — or how much more Republican or Democratic they are relative to the nation1For instance, Hillary Clinton won the national popular vote by about 2 points in 2016, but President Trump won Florida by about 1 point in the same election, so Florida was about 3 points more Republican than the country. Some states are just perennial swing states How much more Republican- or Democratic-leaning a state’s popular vote was than the national popular vote in presidential elections, and how the state is forecasted to vote in 2020, as of Aug. 25 80% of outcomes fall in this range in our 2020 forecast AVERAGE PARTISAN LEAN For instance, Hillary Clinton won the national popular vote by about 2 points in 2016, but President Trump won Florida by about 1 point in the same election, so Florida was about 3 points more Republican than the country. And white voters in these states are more likely to hold at least a four-year college degree than in the other states we’ve examined. But that doesn’t mean there aren’t gradual (and sometimes, not so gradual) shifts underway. Swing State Map Tightens, But Biden Still Leads Trump The big change is that Florida has gone from leaning in Joe Biden's direction back to its traditional spot as a toss-up state. have at least one large metropolitan area that votes heavily Democratic. The consensus electoral map now shows Texas as a Toss Up. Twitter Facebook LinkedIn Email. Save to Favorites. One explanation for why these four states moved so suddenly to the right is that they each have a large share of voters (at least 55 percent2Of the population age 25 years or older.) FiveThirtyEight’s forecast currently expects these states to step slightly to the left in 2020, but there’s a lot of uncertainty here, especially in a state like Maine where the error bars are particularly large. The next five states also shifted to the right in 2016, but they didn’t veer quite as far as the previous four did.

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