sceptical science consensus
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Expert consensus results on the question of human-caused global warming among the previous studies published by the co-authors of Cook et al. (Petition Project). Philosophical Questions looks at more general questions about consensus and it's role in science. The following videos were created for our MOOC Denial101x and explain the various aspects of a scientific consensus, THE ESCALATOR The Consensus Project. As this figure shows, the majority (~85%) of participants are academics, and approximately half of all participants are Earth Scientists.
n 21 Jan 2012, we revised 'the skeptic argument' with a minor quote formatting correction. Lead author John Cook explaining the team’s 2016 consensus paper. Expert consensus is a powerful thing. Crucially, as we note in our paper: Public perception of the scientific consensus has been found to be a gateway belief, affecting other climate beliefs and attitudes including policy support.
Consensus confirmed: over 90% of climate scientists believe we're causing global warming, It’s settled: 90–100% of climate experts agree on human-caused global warming, 97% global warming consensus paper surpasses half a million downloads, James Powell is wrong about the 99.99% AGW consensus, Why the 97 per cent consensus on climate change still gets challenged, Why we need to talk about the scientific consensus on climate change, Why we care about the 97% expert consensus on human-caused global warming, Resources and links documenting Tol's 24 errors, Richard Tol accidentally confirms the 97% global warming consensus, Skeptical Science consensus paper voted ERL's best article of 2013, How we discovered the 97% scientific consensus on man-made global warming, Consensus study most downloaded paper in all Institute of Physics journals, Public talk explaining our consensus paper & answering critics, Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists: Closing the Consensus Gap, The Consensus Project self-rating data now available, The Consensus Project Update and Dana on Al Jazeera Inside Story, An estimate of the consensus project paper search coverage, The 5 characteristics of global warming consensus denial, On the value of consensus in climate communication, Skeptical Science Study Finds 97% Consensus on Human-Caused Global Warming in the Peer-Reviewed Literature.
Observations of global warming & effects
Cook et al. Physical science of global warming & effects. The website was designed pro-bono by New York design and advertising firm SJI Associates. You can download the full paper (PDF) and the Supplementary Material (PDF). It’s why we visit doctors when we’re ill. They’ve been largely successful, as the public badly underestimate the expert consensus, in what we call the “consensus gap.” Only 16% of Americans realize that the consensus is above 90%. ERL has a innovative feature for peer-reviewed journals - they feature a video abstract which summarises the results of the paper in under 4 minutes.
Why does land warm up faster than the oceans? Scientists just give up arguing because the sheer weight of consistent evidence is too compelling, the tide too strong to swim against any longer.
Political, off-topic or ad hominem comments will be deleted. Most of the graphics are provided in 1024 x 768 form, ideal for powerpoints but also useful for blog posts and articles.
Most striking is the divide between expert climate scientists (97.4%) and the general public (58%). Authors of seven climate consensus studies — including Naomi Oreskes, Peter Doran, William Anderegg, Bart Verheggen, Ed Maibach, J. Stuart Carlton, and John Cook — co-authored a paper that should settle the expert climate consensus question once and for all.
Illustration: John Cook.
The remaining articles in Peiser's list are editorials or letters, not peer-reviewed studies. Figure 1: Response to the survey question "Do you think human activity is a significant contributing factor in changing mean global temperatures?"
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Interactive: What is the climate impact of eating meat and dairy? We have a collection of graphic resources relevant to our research and the scientific consensus in general. All our graphics are under a creative commons licence and freely available for republishing.
Neither do I doubt that the overwhelming majority of climatologists is agreed that the current warming period is mostly due to human impact.".
That humans are causing global warming is the position of the Academies of Science from 80 countries plus many scientific organizations that study climate science. The Petition Project features over 31,000 scientists signing the petition stating "There is no convincing scientific evidence that human release of carbon dioxide will, in the forseeable future, cause catastrophic heating of the Earth's atmosphere ...".
This overwhelming consensus among climate experts is confirmed by an independent study that surveys all climate scientists who have publicly signed declarations supporting or rejecting the consensus. Last updated on 29 January 2017 by dana1981.
2020 SkS Weekly Climate Change & Global Warming News Roundup #39. In the scientific field of climate studies – which is informed by many different disciplines – the consensus is demonstrated by the number of scientists who have stopped arguing about what is causing climate change – and that’s nearly all of them. classified those articles as taking no position and thus ruled them out of the consensus. That’s why those who oppose taking action to curb climate change have engaged in a misinformation campaign to deny the existence of the expert consensus. Naomi Oreskes gives a thorough presentation of the development of our scientific understanding of anthropogenic global warming: Here is a video summary of the various studies quantifying the scientific consensus on human-caused global warming, as well as the misinformation campaigns casting doubt on the consensus.
On 21 Jan 2012, we revised 'the skeptic argument' with a minor quote formatting correction. It’s why we visit doctors when we’re ill.
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