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Res., In a control experiment pre-monsoon air The ensemble mean overturning strength at 26°N is 17.7±0.8 Sv, within one standard error of the RAPID mean (Table S3), but the spread among models ranges from 9.6 Sv (E3SM‐1‐1; −1.8σ, where σ is the standard deviation of the ensemble spread) to 23.04 Sv (FGOALS‐f3‐L; +1.1σ).

We note that it is consistent with the emerging notion that many climate variables are proportional to the cumulative carbon emissions (Herrington & Zickfeld, 2014; Notz & Stroeve, 2016; Steinacher & Joos, 2016), implying that the AMOC in the first decades of the SSP scenarios is mostly determined by historical CO2 emissions.
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Unsere Mütter, unsere Väter (2013) | CSIRO‐ARCCSS ACCESS‐CM2 model output prepared for CMIP6 CMIP abrupt‐4xCO2, CSIRO‐ARCCSS ACCESS‐CM2 model output prepared for CMIP6 CMIP historical, CSIRO‐ARCCSS ACCESS‐CM2 model output prepared for CMIP6 ScenarioMIP ssp126, CSIRO‐ARCCSS ACCESS‐CM2 model output prepared for CMIP6 ScenarioMIP ssp245, CSIRO‐ARCCSS ACCESS‐CM2 model output prepared for CMIP6 ScenarioMIP ssp370, CSIRO‐ARCCSS ACCESS‐CM2 model output prepared for CMIP6 ScenarioMIP ssp585, Interannual variations in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation and its relationship with the net northward heat transport in the South Atlantic, Temporal variability of the South Atlantic meridional overturning circulation between 20°S and 35°S, Climate change projections using the IPSL‐CM5 Earth System Model: from CMIP3 to CMIP5, EC‐Earth‐Consortium EC‐Earth3 model output prepared for CMIP6 CMIP abrupt‐4xCO2, EC‐Earth‐Consortium EC‐Earth3 model output prepared for CMIP6 CMIP historical, EC‐Earth‐Consortium EC‐Earth3 model output prepared for CMIP6 ScenarioMIP ssp245, EC‐Earth‐Consortium EC‐Earth3‐Veg model output prepared for CMIP6 CMIP abrupt‐4xCO2, EC‐Earth‐Consortium EC‐Earth3‐Veg model output prepared for CMIP6 CMIP historical, Overview of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) experimental design and organization, Dissolved organic carbon in the North Atlantic meridional overturning circulation, Atlantic meridional overturning circulation: Observed transports and variability, The active role of the ocean in the temporal evolution of climate sensitivity, Global emissions pathways under different socioeconomic scenarios for use in CMIP6: A dataset of harmonized emissions trajectories through the end of the century, The DOE E3SM coupled model Version 1: Overview and evaluation at standard resolution, MOHC HadGEM3‐GC31‐LL model output prepared for CMIP6 ScenarioMIP ssp245, MOHC HadGEM3‐GC31‐LL model output prepared for CMIP6 ScenarioMIP ssp126, MOHC HadGEM3‐GC31‐LL model output prepared for CMIP6 ScenarioMIP ssp585, MOHC UKESM1.0‐LL model output prepared for CMIP6 ScenarioMIP ssp126, MOHC UKESM1.0‐LL model output prepared for CMIP6 ScenarioMIP ssp245, MOHC UKESM1.0‐LL model output prepared for CMIP6 ScenarioMIP ssp370, MOHC UKESM1.0‐LL model output prepared for CMIP6 ScenarioMIP ssp585, A model intercomparison of changes in the Atlantic thermohaline circulation in response to increasing atmospheric CO2 concentration, A new method for diagnosing radiative forcing and climate sensitivity, Kinetic energy analysis of the response of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation to CO, Heat content variability in the North Atlantic Ocean in ocean reanalyses, Progressing emergent constraints on future climate change, EC‐Earth V2. Figure 4Predicted multidecadal diffusive air–surface exchange fluxes. clean air from the Indian Ocean (seasonal shift of the ITCZ), and partly by The resulting ocean heat loss counteracts the AMOC weakening induced by atmospheric warming. The processes considered in air are

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